How much of my retirement nest egg dare I risk in the market to counter inflation?
My wife & I are 80 & have about $250k in our retirement nest egg. We receive Social Security, very small pensions, and take MRDs from our IRAs annually to live on. Inflation is hurting, so I should probably invest some amount in the market to keep up with rising costs.
Answers
Oldman answered 3 months ago …
This' a really tough question! I'd look at CanRoys that pay a yield above 10%, with the 15% withheld in a taxable account being a U.S. Tax Credit, and I wouldn't put more than 2% of a portfolio in any one security. Also, for the after-tax investment of the MRD's, you might consider NIO, which has a fairly high tax-free yield (about 5+ %). Again, don't purchase a position above 2 % of the total portfolio.
In the sheltered accounts, you may want to look at EverBank's site for principal-protected (FDIC insured) investments in currencies of strong, debt-free currencies. The interest payments would be taxable, otherwise.
At current rates, neither TIPS or the ETF that holds TIPS, nor I-Bonds will help to hedge vs. rising rates.
Purchasing commodity-holding (GLD, IAU, SLV) ETFs, even if they become "cheap", is not permitted in a sheltered account.
Eveything else has a variable principal value: O (the Income Realty stock, that pledges to increase dividends, has suffered, as did ADVDX (whose dividend is now ca. 18%, but whose NAV has dropped by 25-30%), and all the other high-yield, but variable closed-end funds, have decreased in NAV, because their holdings have decreased in market pricing.
There are some ELKS, QUIBS and other, bond-like issues, that may be worth a look:
EGK, EOD, FSB, GEA--but be sure to check the maturity dates and the underlying credit rating of the company...the issuer (Merrill, or CitiBank or JP Morgan) is not a problem, because the securities were bundled or the bonds were broken into small pieces, and aren't part of the Bank's capital, any more than the securities in your brokerages are a part of the Brokerage's capital: If JPM or CB or ML goes bankrupt, the Quibs and ELKs remain. GEA is General Electric (AAA rated) paying 6.5%; FSB is Financial Services paying 16% due 12/15/2101, currently @ $10.77/QUIB. Again, not more than 2% of each of these belongs in the portfolio. These ELKS< QUIBS, etc., pay quarterly or semiannually...some can convert to stock of the company in a relatively short time, so be sure to read the prospectus, in case the Company stock declines below a particular point, at the maturity date, the principal is going to be less than the part of the "bond".
alanj answered 3 months ago …
The good thing about inflation is it's not a constant. It goes up and it goes down. The bad thing is that right now it's up. The best way to fight against inflation on an individual basis is to budget and try to figure out where to cut your spending. Only spend when you absolutely need to. Doing this will not be putting any of your nest egg at risk. Get your monthly expenses to less than your monthly income. If you own your own home you might want to consider doing a reverse mortgage.
If you are looking at high yield instruments, understand that they are at a high yield because the stock has been losing value. What good is the yield if the principle losses value. If you do find something that is high yield be sure that it is trending up. Stay away from the financial sector unless you plan on shorting it. There's no indication that it has reached bottom. I'm sure you already know that we are in a bear market (most stocks are going down). It's extremely hard to find quality stocks that are going up. If you've never traded in the market I would suggest paper trading first, before risking any of your nest egg. Learning how to read the market can take several years. That's because it's not that easy to learn. And some give up.
Considering your ages and the size of your nest egg I'm not sure I would risk any of it. But if you really want to, one way to figure out how much is to calculate your annual expenses and your annual income and invest the excess income. Save your nest egg and put it into government insured instruments.
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