Future earnings changes VS current earnings.
I have noticed some brokers and fund managers through out the world never tell their clients to sell stocks due to rapid growth in current earnings .They think rapid earnings growth to continue in the future as well and they advise to accumulate more and more. We cannot rely on some research reports as well. Finally, when bubble develops into those particular stocks everybody is losing at the end. That is what happened to most clients in the recent past.
I can remember they never said to their clients to sell property and building related companies when their earnings were peak. However, intelligent investors sold their property related stocks and commodity stocks in advance. For example, investors sold their rubber futures and shifted their investments into stocks such as Sumitomo Rubber Industries Inc in Japan.
Still some brokers in some small countries advising their clients to buy commodity related stocks based on current earnings.
Any other thoughts. Thanks.
Best Answer
jillybeansisme answered 3 months ago …
It is my opinion (I'm not a pro, I just invest for myself) that when you enter into an investment you need to have an exit plan. My exit plan is:
sell if it goes down 20% from its highest point since I invested in it;
and sell half or just more than half if it doubles;
and sell half again if it triples from the original buy in price, etc.
Sometimes I get screwed. For example, when AMED did its drastic drop recently I did sell and it is somewhat recovering. However, when POT dropped from $243/share, I did sell at $200 and it has since dropped to $176. Haven't decided if I will rebuy it or not 'cuz I do like it!
Real estate is a different matter. I'm living in my house and did not buy specultive flips; therefore, I won't sell just because the market has declined severely. It's like a pendulum, it will settle in the middle (sure, I wish I sold at the top -- oh, wait! That's what I did with my last house!) and then I will sell this house. The market will turn back, but probably at a modest rate rather than the ridiculous jump it originally took a few years ago. Anyone who wishes to sell should wait until the market in their area demonstrates a more even seller/buyer situation since right now it is a definite buyers' market. I did buy a piece of property recently at bargin basement prices in the place I plan to move to eventually . . .
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