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If Greenspan had raised interest rates higher, instead of keeping them low for so long - would have helped?

If Greenspan had raised interest rates higher instead of keeping them low for so long could some or all of this crisis be avoided?

Answers

Grudun answered a question in Economics.
951 points

Grudun answered one year ago …

Definately some. If borrowing money to buy a house had been more expensive fewer people would have bought homes that they could afford then but not later because they would not have been able to afford homes. This would have slowed the appreciation in homes creating a lower peak and therefore a smaller drop. Also the higher interest rates would have increased savings which provide a small stop gap for when the economy goes bad, and kept savings from loosing ground to inflation which further depressed savings. The biggest problem is the fed has only one tool and it is normally not the most effective for the job that it has been given so it ends up over using it. Also the fed seems to react to political considerations as much as bussiness ones creating a lot of late overreactions that out live their usefullness(ie. The drop in rates after 9/11 was a helpful action but it should have come with a time limit instead of continuing to keep interest rates too low)

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EthanR answered a question in Economics.
4075 points

EthanR answered one year ago …

I disagree. The economy needed the lower rates to get going again after 9/11, and the jobs that were created during the housing boom supported this economy very nicely. Much of the current weakness that we see in the economy is due to the massive layoffs of the last two years of people in the Real Estate industry. Think of all of the roofers, plumbers, electricians, carpenters, tile layers, site agents, Realtors, Mortgage loan officers, surveyors, appraisers, title company employees, etc etc. who were layed off or downsized as a result of the housing decline.

I think Greenspan did a great job while in office. I just wish he wouldn't keep talking down the economy on CNBC all the time, because every time he speaks, the market tanks!

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