Why do you suspect the dollar is rising even though the economy is deteriorating?

Best Answer

thinker70 answered a question in Currencies.
731 points

thinker70 answered 10 months ago …

EXCELlENT QUESTION! The simple answer is that the U.S. dollar for now still remains the worlds reserve currency and therefore is perceived as SAFER than any alternative fiat currency. This EFFECT is a TEMPORARY phenomenon that has occured beause of hedge fund, mutual fund etc. devleveraging, including massive amounts of margin calls, so that the shrinkage in the stock market shows up as capital returned too DOLLARS, giving the FALSE appearance of strength!

Many people will be fooled by the establishment (banks and politicians) giving the "all clear" signal that everything is under control, (through their manipulations) and things are returning to normal, which you should interpret as more ripoffs, more corporate and bank failures, with only those with the "right connections" getting bailed out with more central bank created DEBT that only "buys time" rather than actually SOLVING the problem.

It is all "window dressing" and there will be more SHOCKS to the system coming as commercial real estate implodes, consumer credit card debt defaults etc. we are FAR from out of the woods yet, lots more cleansing of a corrupted system necessary!! When the euphoria of Barack Obama's ellection fades and REALITY sinks in, that the problems are beyond simple fixes and more debt creation then the dollar will crater and REAL MONEY, gold and silver will soar to unprecedented levels.

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Answers

mgspony answered a question in Currencies.
136 points

mgspony answered 10 months ago …

I think as long as everyone else is doing worse, the dollar will strengthen, due to the status of reserve currency and perception of safety. When the perception of safety and strength change the dollar will weaken. Because we are human, not all things move on fundamentals, the idea of strength can over ride the fundamentals. However, it will correct in time. Gay

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MNSL answered a question in Currencies.
3943 points

MNSL answered 10 months ago …

Still there are some support levels for US Dollar. Similar to property, commodity and other assets currencies also have their cycles.

In the past Pound went up rapidly. Appreciation of pound was too fast. Now it is tumbling. Then some top investment houses and analysts recommended Australian Dollar. Now it has come down very badly.

Even some Japanese housewives lost their money on these recommendations.

Now some are vey keen about Yen, Krone and Franc. I think we should sell these currencies during next 04 months.

Currency market will stagnate in the next 18 months. Some currencies will depreciate further. Some currencies including some emerging currencies will appreciate in the 2nd half this year.

We will be able to see direction of next currency trend towards end of this year.

Factors to watch:

Fundamentals including economic situation
Carry traders and speculators
Market players
Big losses in currency trading and betting
Plus other factors

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